journal de montreal says President Donald Trump badly miscalculated before launching strikes against Iran; analysts warn the country retains the ability to disrupt the Gulf and global markets. Updated March 15, 2026 at 00: 25 ET. The piece argues the terrain, asymmetric weapons and Iran’s willingness to threaten shipping mean the conflict could drag on and keep oil prices high.
Journal De Montreal analysis: Immediate facts and fallout
The central claim in the journal de montreal brief is stark: overwhelming conventional strikes have not eliminated Iran’s capacity to inflict damage across the Gulf. The analysis notes Iran’s stated threat to fire on any vessel — including large tankers — that transits the Strait of Hormuz, and highlights how limited equipment from shore batteries, missile launchers or drones can endanger ships in that narrow channel. Three commercial vessels were struck near the Strait recently, one of them a bulk carrier that caught fire after leaving a Gulf port.
Immediate reactions from leaders and commanders
Donald Trump, President of the United States, said the operation could end “soon” and later asked rhetorically, “We don’t want to leave before the hour, right? We must finish the job, no?” Ali Fadavi, representative of the army, warned Washington of a long campaign and threatened a “war of attrition” aiming to “destroy the entire American economy as well as the world economy. ” Amir Saeed Iravani, Representative of Iran to the United Nations, declared that “more than 1348 civilians” had been killed since the onset of the campaign.
The journal de montreal commentary frames these remarks as evidence of a widening confrontation in which military advantage on paper has not erased the opponent’s capacity to inflict strategic harm. The piece stresses that without boots on the ground to seize and hold the rugged shorelines, securing the Strait will remain effectively impossible.
Quick context
The journal de montreal column uses a fable to argue that brute force can leave a stronger actor exposed to persistent, damaging retaliation. It also links continued threats in the Strait of Hormuz to sustained pressure on oil markets and financial volatility.
What’s next — risks, markets and diplomatic pressure
Expect tense weeks ahead: more strikes and counterstrikes, continued threats to commercial shipping, and volatile oil prices that feed market anxiety. The journal de montreal piece concludes that, unless a new diplomatic breakthrough appears, both military measures and economic disruption could persist — and that political limits will constrain any U. S. decision to deploy ground forces to neutralize the coastal threat.
Time-sensitive details in this dispatch are timestamped: updated March 15, 2026 at 00: 25 ET. The unfolding choices by leaders and commanders named here will determine whether the campaign shortens or becomes a protracted contest that continues to unsettle energy markets and regional stability.
